Read the full Fourth Quarter 2023 Market Newsletter HERE
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- Hopes of a ‘soft landing’ and interest rate cuts by the Federal reserve propelled stocks and bonds in the fourth quarter of 2023 leading to good annual performance.
- The unique post-pandemic economic cycle has been filled with conflicting economic data leading to what some have dubbed ‘rolling recessions. Some areas have undergone recessionary weakness while others are relatively strong.
- Inflation has decisively and significantly subsided from the highs set in 2022.
- The Federal Reserve acknowledged some progress in curbing inflation through tighter monetary policy but emphasized the need for continued vigilance.
- In 2023, corporate earnings exhibited slow and uneven growth, reflecting the economic uncertainty.
- Investing in themes seems good on paper but not practical, you are better off investing in a diversified portfolio of large well-established companies.
- ‘It is about time in the markets and not timing the markets’. Missing 14 of the best days last year would have reduced your performance to 0% vs over 26% if you had stayed invested all through the year.